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Legal warning: Trade finance in 2010

19 January 2010

Dickon Harris approaches the sharpest legal minds in Trade Finance to find out what to expect in 2010.

Read more: [trade finance law] [restructurings] [Watson Farley Williams] [Denton Wilde Sapte] [Norton Rose]

Trade Finance asked the following four senior lawyers at leading trade finance law firms what to expect in 2010.:


Nick Grandage, partner at Denton Wilde Sapte

      
Celia Gardiner and Michael Kenny, partners at Watson Farley Williams


Jake Howard, senior associate at Norton Rose


Trade Finance: What lessons have been learnt from the various restructurings that have taken place last year?

DWS:  "As a general response, always expect the unexpected. I think that trade and commodity finance structures have held up relatively well."

WFW:  "Clearly that the lessons learned from restructurings go well beyond trade finance. The key issue which has marked this recession has been the fact that it was triggered by a banking crisis, and the finance market has had to adjust to a position in which the creditworthiness of lenders has become an issue. For example, we have...


Poll

Gazpromneft stunned the market this week when it was revealed pricing for their five-year $1 billion pre-export financing was rumoured to be just above 300 basis points over Libor. Is the deal likely to be a syndication success?

Yes - this seems like a sensible pricing benchmark, why not?
9%
No - are you crazy? These prices are ridiculous. What were these banks thinking?
27%
Yes - but for all the wrong reasons. A lack of other deals in the market, and the promise of future business with Gazpromneft will make it hard to ignore but don’t expect many to take up big tickets with this deal. There are much better deals out there.
64%